Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Ballarat

Ballarat: Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs was 0.803 Degrees celsius in 2060. ▲ Rising

Latest (2060)
0.803 Degrees celsius
Change on year
up 21.7%
Rank
1359th
of 1364 regions
All-time high
0.8251 Degrees celsius
in 2049
All-time low
0.2559 Degrees celsius
in 2031
Years of data
31
2030–2060

Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Ballarat, 2030–2060

0.20.40.60.82030204520602030: 0.536 Degrees celsius2031: 0.256 Degrees celsius2032: 0.292 Degrees celsius2033: 0.489 Degrees celsius2034: 0.478 Degrees celsius2035: 0.657 Degrees celsius2036: 0.622 Degrees celsius2037: 0.635 Degrees celsius2038: 0.492 Degrees celsius2039: 0.335 Degrees celsius2040: 0.43 Degrees celsius2041: 0.624 Degrees celsius2042: 0.434 Degrees celsius2043: 0.563 Degrees celsius2044: 0.511 Degrees celsius2045: 0.628 Degrees celsius2046: 0.657 Degrees celsius2047: 0.627 Degrees celsius2048: 0.677 Degrees celsius2049: 0.825 Degrees celsius2050: 0.623 Degrees celsius2051: 0.755 Degrees celsius2052: 0.56 Degrees celsius2053: 0.64 Degrees celsius2054: 0.677 Degrees celsius2055: 0.68 Degrees celsius2056: 0.571 Degrees celsius2057: 0.583 Degrees celsius2058: 0.686 Degrees celsius2059: 0.66 Degrees celsius2060: 0.803 Degrees celsius

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Degrees celsius.

Analysis

The most recent figure for climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Ballarat is 0.803 Degrees celsius, measured in 2060.

Compared with earlier readings it is up 21.7% on the previous year and up 28.8% over ten years.

Over the whole period, climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Ballarat peaked at 0.8251 Degrees celsius in 2049 and was at its lowest, 0.2559 Degrees celsius, in 2031.

That places Ballarat 1359th out of 1364 regions with data for 2060, putting it in the bottom quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 31 years of available data.

Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Ballarat, year by year

Annual values for Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs — Projected air temperature change compared to 1981-2010 average in Ballarat, 2030 to 2060.
Year Degrees celsius Change
2030 0.5358 Degrees celsius
2031 0.2559 Degrees celsius -52.2%
2032 0.2918 Degrees celsius +14.0%
2033 0.4886 Degrees celsius +67.4%
2034 0.478 Degrees celsius -2.2%
2035 0.6571 Degrees celsius +37.5%
2036 0.6217 Degrees celsius -5.4%
2037 0.6349 Degrees celsius +2.1%
2038 0.4919 Degrees celsius -22.5%
2039 0.3345 Degrees celsius -32.0%
2040 0.4297 Degrees celsius +28.5%
2041 0.6241 Degrees celsius +45.2%
2042 0.4343 Degrees celsius -30.4%
2043 0.5634 Degrees celsius +29.7%
2044 0.5109 Degrees celsius -9.3%
2045 0.6276 Degrees celsius +22.8%
2046 0.6574 Degrees celsius +4.7%
2047 0.6272 Degrees celsius -4.6%
2048 0.6765 Degrees celsius +7.9%
2049 0.8251 Degrees celsius +22.0%
2050 0.6234 Degrees celsius -24.4%
2051 0.7551 Degrees celsius +21.1%
2052 0.5603 Degrees celsius -25.8%
2053 0.6396 Degrees celsius +14.2%
2054 0.6771 Degrees celsius +5.9%
2055 0.6802 Degrees celsius +0.5%
2056 0.5707 Degrees celsius -16.1%
2057 0.583 Degrees celsius +2.1%
2058 0.6856 Degrees celsius +17.6%
2059 0.6599 Degrees celsius -3.7%
2060 0.803 Degrees celsius +21.7%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 0.479 Degrees celsius 0.2559 Degrees celsius 0.6571 Degrees celsius 10
2040s 0.5976 Degrees celsius 0.4297 Degrees celsius 0.8251 Degrees celsius 10
2050s 0.6435 Degrees celsius 0.5603 Degrees celsius 0.7551 Degrees celsius 10
2060s 0.803 Degrees celsius 0.803 Degrees celsius 0.803 Degrees celsius 1

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Frequently asked questions

What is climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Ballarat?
Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Ballarat was 0.803 Degrees celsius in 2060, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas recorded in Ballarat?
The highest recorded value was 0.8251 Degrees celsius in 2049.
What is the lowest climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas recorded in Ballarat?
The lowest recorded value was 0.2559 Degrees celsius in 2031.
How does Ballarat rank for climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas?
Ballarat ranks 1359th out of 1364 regions with data for 2060.
Is climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas rising or falling in Ballarat?
Over the last ten years it is up 28.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Ballarat data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs — Projected air temperature change compared to 1981-2010 average. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Ballarat. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 27 August 2026, from https://climate.statizoid.com/stat/climate-projections-by-scenario-2030-2060-cities-and-fuas-projected-air-temperature-2/ballarat/

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About this data

Indicator
Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs — Projected air temperature change compared to 1981-2010 average
Unit
Degrees celsius
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
1,374 places, 42,594 data points, 2030–2060
Last refreshed

This dataset provides sub-national indicators on 2030-2060 projections by scenario on air temperature, hot days, icing days, tropical nights, total precipitation and extreme precipitation days in FUAs and Cities. Data sources and methodology Projections are based on NASA NEX-GDDP CMIP6 data, which provides average air temperature projections at a 0.25° spatial resolution for different scenarios - Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Hot days refer to days during which the maximum temperature is higher than 35°C) Tropical nights refer to nights during which the minimum temperature is higher than 20°C. Icing days are defined as days during which the maximum temperature is lower than 0°C. Extreme precipitation days are defined as days during which the total precipitation is higher than 20 mm. SSPs are climate scenarios up to 2100 that model how socio‑economic factors may change over the next century. These scenarios are combined with Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), which outline different greenhouse gas (GHG) concentration levels and their radiative forcings. Radiative forcing quantifies how factors like GHGs, aerosols and solar changes affect Earth’s atmospheric energy balance. This dataset covers highlights four scenarios: SSP1-2.6: Sustainability. 2.6 watts per square metre (W/m2) radiative forcing, 1.8°C warming by 2100. SSP2-4.5: Middle-of-the-road. 4.5 W/m2 radiative forcing, 2.7°C warming by 2100. SSP3-7.0: Regional rivalry. 7.0 W/m2 radiative forcing, 3.6°C warming by 2100. SSP5-8.5: Fossil fuel development. 8.5 W/m2 radiative forcing, 4.4°C warming by 2100. Defining FUAs and cities The OECD, in cooperation with the EU, has developed a harmonised definition of functional urban areas (FUAs) to capture the economic and functional reach of cities based on daily commuting patterns (OECD, 2012). FUAs consist of: A city – defined by urban centres in the degree of urbanisation, adapted to the closest local administrative units to define a city. A commuting zone – including all local areas where at least 15% of employed residents work in the city. The delineation process includes: Assigning municipalities surrounded by a single FUA to that FUA. Excluding non-contiguous municipalities. The definition identifies 1 285 FUAs and 1 402 cities in all OECD member countries except Costa Rica and three accession countries. Cite this dataset OECD Regions, cities and local areas database (Climate projections by scenario, 2030-2060 – Cities and FUAs), http://oe.cd/geostats Further information OECD Local Data Portal OECD Regions and Cities at a Glance For questions and/or comments, please email CitiesStat@oecd.org