Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Edinburgh

Edinburgh: Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs was 0.9564 Degrees celsius in 2060. ▲ Rising

Latest (2060)
0.9564 Degrees celsius
Change on year
down 5.4%
Rank
1347th
of 1364 regions
All-time high
1.24 Degrees celsius
in 2049
All-time low
0.5422 Degrees celsius
in 2032
Years of data
31
2030–2060

Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Edinburgh, 2030–2060

00.250.50.7511.22030204520602030: 0.7 Degrees celsius2031: 0.563 Degrees celsius2032: 0.542 Degrees celsius2033: 0.763 Degrees celsius2034: 0.699 Degrees celsius2035: 0.554 Degrees celsius2036: 0.777 Degrees celsius2037: 0.812 Degrees celsius2038: 0.754 Degrees celsius2039: 0.985 Degrees celsius2040: 0.772 Degrees celsius2041: 0.7 Degrees celsius2042: 0.885 Degrees celsius2043: 0.787 Degrees celsius2044: 0.796 Degrees celsius2045: 0.745 Degrees celsius2046: 0.808 Degrees celsius2047: 0.923 Degrees celsius2048: 0.889 Degrees celsius2049: 1.2 Degrees celsius2050: 0.962 Degrees celsius2051: 0.95 Degrees celsius2052: 0.945 Degrees celsius2053: 0.912 Degrees celsius2054: 0.899 Degrees celsius2055: 0.913 Degrees celsius2056: 0.721 Degrees celsius2057: 0.96 Degrees celsius2058: 0.717 Degrees celsius2059: 1 Degrees celsius2060: 0.956 Degrees celsius

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Degrees celsius.

Analysis

In 2060, climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Edinburgh stood at 0.9564 Degrees celsius.

That represents a change of down 5.4% on the previous year and down 0.6% over ten years.

Over the whole period, climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Edinburgh peaked at 1.24 Degrees celsius in 2049 and was at its lowest, 0.5422 Degrees celsius, in 2032.

Edinburgh ranks 1347th of 1364 regions on this measure, in the bottom quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 31 years of available data.

Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Edinburgh, year by year

Annual values for Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs — Projected air temperature change compared to 1981-2010 average in Edinburgh, 2030 to 2060.
Year Degrees celsius Change
2030 0.7 Degrees celsius
2031 0.563 Degrees celsius -19.6%
2032 0.5422 Degrees celsius -3.7%
2033 0.7626 Degrees celsius +40.6%
2034 0.6987 Degrees celsius -8.4%
2035 0.5537 Degrees celsius -20.8%
2036 0.7768 Degrees celsius +40.3%
2037 0.8115 Degrees celsius +4.5%
2038 0.7537 Degrees celsius -7.1%
2039 0.9846 Degrees celsius +30.6%
2040 0.7723 Degrees celsius -21.6%
2041 0.6998 Degrees celsius -9.4%
2042 0.8849 Degrees celsius +26.4%
2043 0.7874 Degrees celsius -11.0%
2044 0.7957 Degrees celsius +1.1%
2045 0.7451 Degrees celsius -6.4%
2046 0.8076 Degrees celsius +8.4%
2047 0.923 Degrees celsius +14.3%
2048 0.8887 Degrees celsius -3.7%
2049 1.24 Degrees celsius +39.9%
2050 0.962 Degrees celsius -22.6%
2051 0.9505 Degrees celsius -1.2%
2052 0.9454 Degrees celsius -0.5%
2053 0.9121 Degrees celsius -3.5%
2054 0.8992 Degrees celsius -1.4%
2055 0.9133 Degrees celsius +1.6%
2056 0.7213 Degrees celsius -21.0%
2057 0.9598 Degrees celsius +33.1%
2058 0.7172 Degrees celsius -25.3%
2059 1.01 Degrees celsius +41.0%
2060 0.9564 Degrees celsius -5.4%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 0.7147 Degrees celsius 0.5422 Degrees celsius 0.9846 Degrees celsius 10
2040s 0.8548 Degrees celsius 0.6998 Degrees celsius 1.24 Degrees celsius 10
2050s 0.8992 Degrees celsius 0.7172 Degrees celsius 1.01 Degrees celsius 10
2060s 0.9564 Degrees celsius 0.9564 Degrees celsius 0.9564 Degrees celsius 1

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Frequently asked questions

What is climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Edinburgh?
Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Edinburgh was 0.9564 Degrees celsius in 2060, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas recorded in Edinburgh?
The highest recorded value was 1.24 Degrees celsius in 2049.
What is the lowest climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas recorded in Edinburgh?
The lowest recorded value was 0.5422 Degrees celsius in 2032.
How does Edinburgh rank for climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas?
Edinburgh ranks 1347th out of 1364 regions with data for 2060.
Is climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas rising or falling in Edinburgh?
Over the last ten years it is down 0.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Edinburgh data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs — Projected air temperature change compared to 1981-2010 average. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Edinburgh. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 23 August 2026, from https://climate.statizoid.com/stat/climate-projections-by-scenario-2030-2060-cities-and-fuas-projected-air-temperature-2/edinburgh/

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About this data

Indicator
Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs — Projected air temperature change compared to 1981-2010 average
Unit
Degrees celsius
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
1,374 places, 42,594 data points, 2030–2060
Last refreshed

This dataset provides sub-national indicators on 2030-2060 projections by scenario on air temperature, hot days, icing days, tropical nights, total precipitation and extreme precipitation days in FUAs and Cities. Data sources and methodology Projections are based on NASA NEX-GDDP CMIP6 data, which provides average air temperature projections at a 0.25° spatial resolution for different scenarios - Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Hot days refer to days during which the maximum temperature is higher than 35°C) Tropical nights refer to nights during which the minimum temperature is higher than 20°C. Icing days are defined as days during which the maximum temperature is lower than 0°C. Extreme precipitation days are defined as days during which the total precipitation is higher than 20 mm. SSPs are climate scenarios up to 2100 that model how socio‑economic factors may change over the next century. These scenarios are combined with Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), which outline different greenhouse gas (GHG) concentration levels and their radiative forcings. Radiative forcing quantifies how factors like GHGs, aerosols and solar changes affect Earth’s atmospheric energy balance. This dataset covers highlights four scenarios: SSP1-2.6: Sustainability. 2.6 watts per square metre (W/m2) radiative forcing, 1.8°C warming by 2100. SSP2-4.5: Middle-of-the-road. 4.5 W/m2 radiative forcing, 2.7°C warming by 2100. SSP3-7.0: Regional rivalry. 7.0 W/m2 radiative forcing, 3.6°C warming by 2100. SSP5-8.5: Fossil fuel development. 8.5 W/m2 radiative forcing, 4.4°C warming by 2100. Defining FUAs and cities The OECD, in cooperation with the EU, has developed a harmonised definition of functional urban areas (FUAs) to capture the economic and functional reach of cities based on daily commuting patterns (OECD, 2012). FUAs consist of: A city – defined by urban centres in the degree of urbanisation, adapted to the closest local administrative units to define a city. A commuting zone – including all local areas where at least 15% of employed residents work in the city. The delineation process includes: Assigning municipalities surrounded by a single FUA to that FUA. Excluding non-contiguous municipalities. The definition identifies 1 285 FUAs and 1 402 cities in all OECD member countries except Costa Rica and three accession countries. Cite this dataset OECD Regions, cities and local areas database (Climate projections by scenario, 2030-2060 – Cities and FUAs), http://oe.cd/geostats Further information OECD Local Data Portal OECD Regions and Cities at a Glance For questions and/or comments, please email CitiesStat@oecd.org