Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Köln

Köln: Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs was 1.52 Degrees celsius in 2060. ▲ Rising

Latest (2060)
1.52 Degrees celsius
Change on year
up 13.9%
Rank
999th
of 1372 regions
All-time high
1.52 Degrees celsius
in 2060
All-time low
0.5073 Degrees celsius
in 2031
Years of data
31
2030–2060

Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Köln, 2030–2060

0.50.7511.21.52030204520602030: 0.754 Degrees celsius2031: 0.507 Degrees celsius2032: 0.511 Degrees celsius2033: 0.827 Degrees celsius2034: 0.82 Degrees celsius2035: 0.597 Degrees celsius2036: 0.917 Degrees celsius2037: 0.986 Degrees celsius2038: 0.888 Degrees celsius2039: 1.1 Degrees celsius2040: 1 Degrees celsius2041: 0.786 Degrees celsius2042: 1.2 Degrees celsius2043: 0.957 Degrees celsius2044: 1.3 Degrees celsius2045: 0.965 Degrees celsius2046: 1.2 Degrees celsius2047: 1 Degrees celsius2048: 0.956 Degrees celsius2049: 1.5 Degrees celsius2050: 1.1 Degrees celsius2051: 1.4 Degrees celsius2052: 1.3 Degrees celsius2053: 1.1 Degrees celsius2054: 1.3 Degrees celsius2055: 1.3 Degrees celsius2056: 1.1 Degrees celsius2057: 1.4 Degrees celsius2058: 1.1 Degrees celsius2059: 1.3 Degrees celsius2060: 1.5 Degrees celsius

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Degrees celsius.

Analysis

In 2060, climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Köln stood at 1.52 Degrees celsius. That is the highest value across all 31 years on record.

Compared with earlier readings it is up 13.9% on the previous year and up 36.3% over ten years.

Over the whole period, climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Köln peaked at 1.52 Degrees celsius in 2060 and was at its lowest, 0.5073 Degrees celsius, in 2031.

Köln ranks 999th of 1372 regions on this measure, in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 31 years of available data.

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 0.7898 Degrees celsius 0.5073 Degrees celsius 1.09 Degrees celsius 10
2040s 1.09 Degrees celsius 0.7857 Degrees celsius 1.48 Degrees celsius 10
2050s 1.24 Degrees celsius 1.07 Degrees celsius 1.44 Degrees celsius 10
2060s 1.52 Degrees celsius 1.52 Degrees celsius 1.52 Degrees celsius 1

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Frequently asked questions

What is climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Köln?
Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Köln was 1.52 Degrees celsius in 2060, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas recorded in Köln?
The highest recorded value was 1.52 Degrees celsius in 2060.
What is the lowest climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas recorded in Köln?
The lowest recorded value was 0.5073 Degrees celsius in 2031.
How does Köln rank for climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas?
Köln ranks 999th out of 1372 regions with data for 2060.
Is climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas rising or falling in Köln?
Over the last ten years it is up 36.3%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Köln data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs — Projected air temperature change compared to 1981-2010 average. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Köln. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 20 August 2026, from https://climate.statizoid.com/stat/climate-projections-by-scenario-2030-2060-cities-and-fuas-projected-air-temperature-2/koln/

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About this data

Indicator
Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs — Projected air temperature change compared to 1981-2010 average
Unit
Degrees celsius
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
1,374 places, 42,594 data points, 2030–2060
Last refreshed

This dataset provides sub-national indicators on 2030-2060 projections by scenario on air temperature, hot days, icing days, tropical nights, total precipitation and extreme precipitation days in FUAs and Cities. Data sources and methodology Projections are based on NASA NEX-GDDP CMIP6 data, which provides average air temperature projections at a 0.25° spatial resolution for different scenarios - Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Hot days refer to days during which the maximum temperature is higher than 35°C) Tropical nights refer to nights during which the minimum temperature is higher than 20°C. Icing days are defined as days during which the maximum temperature is lower than 0°C. Extreme precipitation days are defined as days during which the total precipitation is higher than 20 mm. SSPs are climate scenarios up to 2100 that model how socio‑economic factors may change over the next century. These scenarios are combined with Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), which outline different greenhouse gas (GHG) concentration levels and their radiative forcings. Radiative forcing quantifies how factors like GHGs, aerosols and solar changes affect Earth’s atmospheric energy balance. This dataset covers highlights four scenarios: SSP1-2.6: Sustainability. 2.6 watts per square metre (W/m2) radiative forcing, 1.8°C warming by 2100. SSP2-4.5: Middle-of-the-road. 4.5 W/m2 radiative forcing, 2.7°C warming by 2100. SSP3-7.0: Regional rivalry. 7.0 W/m2 radiative forcing, 3.6°C warming by 2100. SSP5-8.5: Fossil fuel development. 8.5 W/m2 radiative forcing, 4.4°C warming by 2100. Defining FUAs and cities The OECD, in cooperation with the EU, has developed a harmonised definition of functional urban areas (FUAs) to capture the economic and functional reach of cities based on daily commuting patterns (OECD, 2012). FUAs consist of: A city – defined by urban centres in the degree of urbanisation, adapted to the closest local administrative units to define a city. A commuting zone – including all local areas where at least 15% of employed residents work in the city. The delineation process includes: Assigning municipalities surrounded by a single FUA to that FUA. Excluding non-contiguous municipalities. The definition identifies 1 285 FUAs and 1 402 cities in all OECD member countries except Costa Rica and three accession countries. Cite this dataset OECD Regions, cities and local areas database (Climate projections by scenario, 2030-2060 – Cities and FUAs), http://oe.cd/geostats Further information OECD Local Data Portal OECD Regions and Cities at a Glance For questions and/or comments, please email CitiesStat@oecd.org