Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Melun

Melun: Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs was 1.6 Degrees celsius in 2060. ▲ Rising

Latest (2060)
1.6 Degrees celsius
Change on year
up 30.1%
Rank
846th
of 1364 regions
All-time high
1.6 Degrees celsius
in 2060
All-time low
0.6843 Degrees celsius
in 2032
Years of data
31
2030–2060

Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Melun, 2030–2060

00.511.52030204520602030: 0.794 Degrees celsius2031: 0.689 Degrees celsius2032: 0.684 Degrees celsius2033: 0.979 Degrees celsius2034: 0.992 Degrees celsius2035: 0.757 Degrees celsius2036: 0.884 Degrees celsius2037: 0.968 Degrees celsius2038: 1.1 Degrees celsius2039: 1.1 Degrees celsius2040: 1.1 Degrees celsius2041: 0.886 Degrees celsius2042: 1.2 Degrees celsius2043: 1 Degrees celsius2044: 1.4 Degrees celsius2045: 1.1 Degrees celsius2046: 1.3 Degrees celsius2047: 1.2 Degrees celsius2048: 0.994 Degrees celsius2049: 1.5 Degrees celsius2050: 1.3 Degrees celsius2051: 1.5 Degrees celsius2052: 1.4 Degrees celsius2053: 1.2 Degrees celsius2054: 1.4 Degrees celsius2055: 1.4 Degrees celsius2056: 1.1 Degrees celsius2057: 1.4 Degrees celsius2058: 1 Degrees celsius2059: 1.2 Degrees celsius2060: 1.6 Degrees celsius

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Degrees celsius.

Analysis

Melun recorded 1.6 Degrees celsius for climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in 2060. That is the highest value across all 31 years on record.

Compared with earlier readings it is up 30.1% on the previous year and up 25.6% over ten years.

Over the whole period, climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Melun peaked at 1.6 Degrees celsius in 2060 and was at its lowest, 0.6843 Degrees celsius, in 2032.

That places Melun 846th out of 1364 regions with data for 2060, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 31 years of available data.

Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Melun, year by year

Annual values for Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs — Projected air temperature change compared to 1981-2010 average in Melun, 2030 to 2060.
Year Degrees celsius Change
2030 0.7942 Degrees celsius
2031 0.689 Degrees celsius -13.2%
2032 0.6843 Degrees celsius -0.7%
2033 0.9791 Degrees celsius +43.1%
2034 0.9919 Degrees celsius +1.3%
2035 0.7565 Degrees celsius -23.7%
2036 0.8835 Degrees celsius +16.8%
2037 0.9678 Degrees celsius +9.5%
2038 1.08 Degrees celsius +11.2%
2039 1.07 Degrees celsius -0.5%
2040 1.08 Degrees celsius +1.2%
2041 0.8858 Degrees celsius -18.3%
2042 1.24 Degrees celsius +39.5%
2043 1.01 Degrees celsius -18.1%
2044 1.44 Degrees celsius +42.0%
2045 1.13 Degrees celsius -21.2%
2046 1.28 Degrees celsius +12.8%
2047 1.2 Degrees celsius -6.3%
2048 0.9942 Degrees celsius -16.9%
2049 1.53 Degrees celsius +53.5%
2050 1.27 Degrees celsius -16.5%
2051 1.47 Degrees celsius +15.3%
2052 1.39 Degrees celsius -5.5%
2053 1.25 Degrees celsius -10.3%
2054 1.42 Degrees celsius +13.9%
2055 1.42 Degrees celsius -0.2%
2056 1.12 Degrees celsius -21.2%
2057 1.37 Degrees celsius +23.0%
2058 1.02 Degrees celsius -25.8%
2059 1.23 Degrees celsius +20.7%
2060 1.6 Degrees celsius +30.1%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 0.8894 Degrees celsius 0.6843 Degrees celsius 1.08 Degrees celsius 10
2040s 1.18 Degrees celsius 0.8858 Degrees celsius 1.53 Degrees celsius 10
2050s 1.29 Degrees celsius 1.02 Degrees celsius 1.47 Degrees celsius 10
2060s 1.6 Degrees celsius 1.6 Degrees celsius 1.6 Degrees celsius 1

More climate change data for Melun

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Frequently asked questions

What is climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Melun?
Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas in Melun was 1.6 Degrees celsius in 2060, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas recorded in Melun?
The highest recorded value was 1.6 Degrees celsius in 2060.
What is the lowest climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas recorded in Melun?
The lowest recorded value was 0.6843 Degrees celsius in 2032.
How does Melun rank for climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas?
Melun ranks 846th out of 1364 regions with data for 2060.
Is climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – cities and fuas rising or falling in Melun?
Over the last ten years it is up 25.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Melun data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs — Projected air temperature change compared to 1981-2010 average. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs in Melun. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 23 August 2026, from https://climate.statizoid.com/stat/climate-projections-by-scenario-2030-2060-cities-and-fuas-projected-air-temperature-2/melun/

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About this data

Indicator
Climate projections by scenario, 2030–2060 – Cities and FUAs — Projected air temperature change compared to 1981-2010 average
Unit
Degrees celsius
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
1,374 places, 42,594 data points, 2030–2060
Last refreshed

This dataset provides sub-national indicators on 2030-2060 projections by scenario on air temperature, hot days, icing days, tropical nights, total precipitation and extreme precipitation days in FUAs and Cities. Data sources and methodology Projections are based on NASA NEX-GDDP CMIP6 data, which provides average air temperature projections at a 0.25° spatial resolution for different scenarios - Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Hot days refer to days during which the maximum temperature is higher than 35°C) Tropical nights refer to nights during which the minimum temperature is higher than 20°C. Icing days are defined as days during which the maximum temperature is lower than 0°C. Extreme precipitation days are defined as days during which the total precipitation is higher than 20 mm. SSPs are climate scenarios up to 2100 that model how socio‑economic factors may change over the next century. These scenarios are combined with Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), which outline different greenhouse gas (GHG) concentration levels and their radiative forcings. Radiative forcing quantifies how factors like GHGs, aerosols and solar changes affect Earth’s atmospheric energy balance. This dataset covers highlights four scenarios: SSP1-2.6: Sustainability. 2.6 watts per square metre (W/m2) radiative forcing, 1.8°C warming by 2100. SSP2-4.5: Middle-of-the-road. 4.5 W/m2 radiative forcing, 2.7°C warming by 2100. SSP3-7.0: Regional rivalry. 7.0 W/m2 radiative forcing, 3.6°C warming by 2100. SSP5-8.5: Fossil fuel development. 8.5 W/m2 radiative forcing, 4.4°C warming by 2100. Defining FUAs and cities The OECD, in cooperation with the EU, has developed a harmonised definition of functional urban areas (FUAs) to capture the economic and functional reach of cities based on daily commuting patterns (OECD, 2012). FUAs consist of: A city – defined by urban centres in the degree of urbanisation, adapted to the closest local administrative units to define a city. A commuting zone – including all local areas where at least 15% of employed residents work in the city. The delineation process includes: Assigning municipalities surrounded by a single FUA to that FUA. Excluding non-contiguous municipalities. The definition identifies 1 285 FUAs and 1 402 cities in all OECD member countries except Costa Rica and three accession countries. Cite this dataset OECD Regions, cities and local areas database (Climate projections by scenario, 2030-2060 – Cities and FUAs), http://oe.cd/geostats Further information OECD Local Data Portal OECD Regions and Cities at a Glance For questions and/or comments, please email CitiesStat@oecd.org